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Key analytical updates on the Murray Darling Basin Water Market. Analysis of the market for water allocation will be assisted by the Greeneye Visual Trading Platform which charts the Victorian Goulburn Murray water market.

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Friday, January 16, 2009

ALLOCATION ANNOUNCEMENTS

The regular bi-monthly announcements relating to allocations from both Victorian and NSW Authorities are tabulated below (source - Weekly Times 16/01/09):

Current allocations are as follows:

Allocation as at 15/01/09

%

increase

Additional ML available

Murrumbidgee general security

21%

9%**

178,819

NSW Murray general security

9%

5%

83,492

Vic Murray high reliability

35%

2%

23,283

Vic Goulburn high reliability

29%

1%

8,887

South Australia

18%

3%

15,376

Total additional allocation

309,857


As you can see from the table there is over 300,00 ML more water available. Indications from the market suggest the price will further weaken to $280 from around $300. Charting still suggests a lower price - moving to mid $200's.

Influencing this may be the fact that milk prices have been slashed by the major processors. Dairy farmers may well be starting to evaluate the advantages of purchasing water to finish the milking season. they may utilise their increased allocations and then commence to dry off lower producing cows.

Grape producers will be closely evaluating their budgets in light of low grape price forecasts for wine production this year.

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